State elections in Saxonia-Anhalt began a series of European ballots in September, followed by parliamentary elections in Sweden. On 6 September, German voters put the anti-immigration, pro-Russia AfD in a position to become the first far-right force to govern a state since 1945.
Voters in Germany, France, Italy and Spain will test whether Europe’s largest countries move the EU’s political direction to the right.
The result remains uncertain. The AfD is leading polls in some German states, though without support sufficient for a majority. Voting is due on 20 September in Mecklenburg-Pomerania Occidentală and Berlin, followed by votes in four further German states in spring.
State parliament elections in Saarland, Schleswig-Holstein and North Rhine-Westphalia are scheduled for April 2027. Germany’s 18th Federal Assembly, which elects the German President, is scheduled for 30 January 2027.
France will vote for its president on 18 April and 2 May. Marine Le Pen, the far-right candidate, is the favourite.
Italy’s political landscape has its own pressures. Premier Giorgia Meloni previously won office on a rather far-right platform. A new party, National Future, described as an authentic far-right party, has emerged and is eroding Meloni’s popularity.
Italy is to hold municipal elections in April - June 2027, followed by general elections. Spain’s general election is scheduled for 29 November, known as 29N. Polls point to the departure of Pedro Sanchez’s socialists from government, with clear victories projected for the conservative Popular Party and the far-right Vox.
Elsewhere, Greece will hold general elections in spring. The vote could strengthen far-right figures from Greek Solution and bring Foni Logikis, a nationalist conservative party, into parliament for the first time.
This electoral sequence may alter the EU’s political trajectory. Its results will indicate whether the political direction of Europe’s largest countries is shifting to the right.
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