Wednesday, October 14Global edition

Hurricane Lala threatens Hawaii's first landfall in more than 30 years

The Category 1 storm is bearing down on the Big Island, with forecasters warning of up to 25 inches of rain on higher ground. A direct hit on the island's southern tip could be the first hurricane landfall in Hawaii since 1992.
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Hawaii has spent most of the past century watching hurricanes from a distance. The central Pacific generates them; it also, usually, deflects or weakens them before they reach land. The last time a hurricane made landfall anywhere in the state was in 1992, when Iniki struck Kauai. On Saturday, 15 August 2026, that long exemption was under serious threat.

Hurricane Lala strengthened to a Category 1 storm on Saturday morning with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph (120 kph), bearing down on the Big Island. At 9 a.m. local time, the eye was approximately 85 miles south-southeast of the island, moving west-northwest. Forecasters warned that Lala's centre could pass very close to, or directly over, the island's southern tip by Saturday evening.

If it does, the consequences would reach beyond the immediate damage. Some sources describe a direct landfall on the Big Island as the first in recorded history; others place the last such event in 1871. Either way, it would be the first hurricane landfall in Hawaii in more than 30 years.

The National Weather Service (NWS) issued a hurricane warning for Hawaii County, which covers the entire Big Island. Tropical storm warnings extended across Maui County — covering Maui, Lanai, Molokai, and Kahoolawe — as well as Oahu, Kauai, and Niihau. Tropical storm-force winds reached outward up to 220 miles from Lala's centre, meaning conditions were expected to deteriorate across the broader island chain, with tropical storm conditions forecast to reach Oahu and Kauai by Sunday morning.

NWS meteorologist Vanessa Almanza said the storm's centre was forecast to strike very close to the southern tip of the Big Island by Saturday evening, according to reports from the Associated Press.

The gravest threat may not come from wind. Forecasters warned of up to 25 inches of rain on higher Big Island elevations, with 8 to 12 inches across Maui and lower Big Island areas, and 4 to 6 inches elsewhere in the chain. The island's steep volcanic terrain amplifies rainfall totals and mudslide risk sharply. Rain was already falling well ahead of the storm's arrival: over 12 inches fell in Keanakolu in the 24 hours before Saturday morning, with parts of the island recording 2 to more than 4 inches in just the six hours to 6 a.m. local time.

Storm surge of up to 3 feet above normally dry ground was forecast for parts of the Big Island's coast, with waves of 8 to 12 feet on east-facing shores. By Saturday morning, the storm had already knocked out electricity for nearly 20% of customers on the Big Island, according to poweroutage.us.

Hawaii Governor Josh Green urged residents to shelter in place, warning of rainfall reaching 2 inches per hour. He called Lala an 'enormous storm' capable of destructive flooding and possible wildfires. Dry, gusty winds on the edges of the storm raised the wildfire risk across the chain. That concern was sharpened by the memory of the devastating August 2023 Lahaina fire on Maui.

Whether Lala's centre will make a clean landfall or clip the southern coast and pass offshore remained uncertain on Saturday morning. Forecasters cautioned that the storm's track could move erratically as it approached. What was not in question was the scale of what had already arrived: flooding rains, knocked-out power, and the real possibility that a state long spared the worst of Pacific hurricanes was about to learn what direct exposure feels like.

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Sofia CastellanosWorld

Sofia Castellanos reads today’s events through the long arc of history, drawing the parallels others miss. Ambitious in scope, provocative on purpose, and rarely content with the obvious explanation.

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